Comprehensive cost analysis for aeroponic vegetable production and complete meal pricing including all ingredients.
Cost per kilogram for vegetables grown aeroponically at $12,000/acre/year (includes operating costs, infrastructure, automation, and transport/processing).
| Crop | Plants/sqft | Days to Harvest | Harvests/yr | Yield per Plant (g) | kg/sqft/year | Cost @ $5k/acre/yr | Cost @ $12k/acre/yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arugula | 4.00 | 40 | 8.0 | 75 | 2.40 | $0.048 | $0.115 |
| Basil | 1.00 | 60 | 5.6 | 100 | 0.56 | $0.206 | $0.493 |
| Bean Sprouts | 4.00 | 10 | 8.0 | 50 | 1.60 | $0.072 | $0.172 |
| Bell Peppers | 1.00 | 90 | 3.7 | 1500 | 5.58 | $0.021 | $0.049 |
| Bok Choy | 1.00 | 50 | 6.7 | 400 | 2.68 | $0.043 | $0.103 |
| Broccoli | 1.00 | 80 | 4.2 | 700 | 2.93 | $0.039 | $0.094 |
| Cabbage | 1.00 | 70 | 4.8 | 1000 | 4.79 | $0.024 | $0.058 |
| Carrots | 16.00 | 75 | 4.5 | 80 | 5.72 | $0.020 | $0.048 |
| Cauliflower | 1.00 | 85 | 3.9 | 1000 | 3.94 | $0.029 | $0.070 |
| Celery | 1.00 | 120 | 2.8 | 600 | 1.67 | $0.069 | $0.164 |
| Cherry Tomatoes | 0.50 | 70 | 4.8 | 3000 | 7.18 | $0.016 | $0.038 |
| Cilantro | 4.00 | 50 | 6.7 | 80 | 2.14 | $0.054 | $0.128 |
| Cucumbers | 1.00 | 60 | 5.6 | 2500 | 13.96 | $0.008 | $0.020 |
| Eggplant | 0.25 | 85 | 3.9 | 2000 | 1.97 | $0.058 | $0.140 |
| Garlic | 9.00 | 270 | 1.2 | 50 | 0.56 | $0.206 | $0.493 |
| Ginger | 1.00 | 240 | 1.4 | 100 | 0.14 | $0.822 | $1.974 |
| Green Beans | 4.00 | 60 | 5.6 | 300 | 6.70 | $0.017 | $0.041 |
| Kale | 1.00 | 60 | 5.6 | 400 | 2.23 | $0.051 | $0.123 |
| Lettuce | 1.25 | 50 | 6.7 | 300 | 2.51 | $0.046 | $0.110 |
| Mint | 1.00 | 60 | 5.6 | 150 | 0.84 | $0.137 | $0.329 |
| Onion | 9.00 | 150 | 2.2 | 80 | 1.61 | $0.071 | $0.171 |
| Oregano | 1.00 | 80 | 4.2 | 50 | 0.21 | $0.548 | $1.316 |
| Parsley | 4.00 | 70 | 4.8 | 100 | 1.91 | $0.060 | $0.144 |
| Peppers | 1.00 | 90 | 3.7 | 1500 | 5.58 | $0.021 | $0.049 |
| Romaine | 1.25 | 75 | 4.5 | 400 | 2.23 | $0.051 | $0.123 |
| Rosemary | 1.00 | 90 | 3.7 | 60 | 0.22 | $0.514 | $1.234 |
| Snow Peas | 8.00 | 60 | 5.6 | 200 | 8.93 | $0.013 | $0.031 |
| Spinach | 4.00 | 40 | 8.0 | 150 | 4.80 | $0.024 | $0.057 |
| Thai Basil | 1.00 | 60 | 5.6 | 100 | 0.56 | $0.206 | $0.493 |
| Thyme | 4.00 | 80 | 4.2 | 40 | 0.67 | $0.171 | $0.411 |
| Tomatoes | 0.25 | 90 | 3.7 | 4000 | 3.72 | $0.031 | $0.074 |
| Zucchini | 0.25 | 50 | 6.7 | 3000 | 5.03 | $0.023 | $0.055 |
Complete meal costs including aeroponic vegetables AND all purchased ingredients (grains, oils, dairy, spices, etc.) at wholesale prices.
| Meal | Aero Veg Cost | Purchased Ingredients Cost | Total Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomato Basil Soup | $0.059 | $0.110 | $0.169 |
| Broccoli Cheddar Soup | $0.051 | $0.695 | $0.746 |
| Vegetable Stir-Fry with Rice | $0.028 | $0.238 | $0.266 |
| Spinach Daal with Rice | $0.062 | $0.433 | $0.496 |
| Aloo Gobi Sabji with Roti | $0.056 | $0.216 | $0.272 |
| Mixed Vegetable Sabji with Roti | $0.075 | $0.190 | $0.265 |
| Greek Salad with Pita | $0.036 | $0.600 | $0.636 |
| Caesar Salad | $0.040 | $0.630 | $0.670 |
| Arugula Strawberry Salad | $0.028 | $0.370 | $0.398 |
| Vegetable Dumplings | $0.049 | $0.295 | $0.344 |
| Pasta Primavera | $0.032 | $0.516 | $0.548 |
| Minestrone Soup | $0.061 | $0.318 | $0.379 |
| Ratatouille with Bread | $0.076 | $0.350 | $0.426 |
| Thai Basil Vegetables with Rice | $0.038 | $0.228 | $0.266 |
| Kale and White Bean Stew | $0.073 | $0.510 | $0.583 |
| Caprese Salad with Bread | $0.035 | $1.200 | $1.235 |
| Eggplant Curry with Rice | $0.089 | $0.480 | $0.569 |
| Spring Roll Bowl | $0.044 | $0.435 | $0.479 |
| Hummus Veggie Wrap | $0.030 | $0.585 | $0.615 |
| Mediterranean Wrap | $0.017 | $1.060 | $1.077 |
| Asian Lettuce Wraps | $0.057 | $0.347 | $0.405 |
| Burrito Bowl | $0.034 | $0.868 | $0.901 |
| Margherita Flatbread | $0.030 | $1.260 | $1.290 |
| Chickpea Curry with Naan | $0.064 | $1.178 | $1.242 |
| Thai Green Curry with Rice | $0.027 | $0.580 | $0.607 |
Average total meal cost: $0.60
This includes aeroponic vegetables, grains (rice/wheat/pasta), oils, dairy, legumes, and tree-based spices at wholesale prices.
Cheapest meal: Tomato Basil Soup at $0.17
Most expensive meal: Margherita Flatbread at $1.29
Meals with meat/seafood at wholesale prices: Chicken ($4/kg), Salmon ($22.50/kg), Shrimp ($18/kg), Tuna ($17/kg).
| Meal | Aero Veg Cost | Purchased Ingredients | Meat/Seafood Cost | Total Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicken Stir-Fry with Rice | $0.048 | $0.238 | $0.600 | $0.886 |
| Chicken Caesar Wrap | $0.025 | $0.790 | $0.480 | $1.295 |
| Grilled Salmon with Vegetables | $0.028 | $0.264 | $3.375 | $3.667 |
| Shrimp Fried Rice | $0.074 | $0.537 | $2.700 | $3.312 |
| Chicken Curry with Rice | $0.059 | $0.518 | $0.600 | $1.177 |
| Tuna Salad Bowl | $0.029 | $0.320 | $2.040 | $2.389 |
| Chicken Noodle Soup | $0.036 | $0.188 | $0.480 | $0.704 |
| Shrimp Tacos | $0.031 | $0.337 | $2.700 | $3.069 |
| Salmon Poke Bowl | $0.022 | $0.225 | $3.375 | $3.622 |
| Chicken Burrito Bowl | $0.034 | $0.778 | $0.600 | $1.411 |
Average total meal cost: $2.15
Meat portion adds approximately $1.56 per meal on average compared to vegetarian options.
Cheapest meat meal: Chicken Noodle Soup at $0.70
Most expensive meat meal: Grilled Salmon with Vegetables at $3.67
Final costs for cooking, delivery, and meal holding centers with automatic dispensing.
Using biogas (from organic waste) and solar energy for cooking keeps energy costs minimal:
Automatic dispensing centers where people present their code to receive fresh warm meals.
| Center Size | Meals/Day | Meals/Month | People Served | Monthly Rent | Cost per Meal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Small Center | 5,000 | 150,000 | 2,500 | $5,000 | $0.033 |
| Large Center | 50,000 | 1,500,000 | 25,000 | $5,000 | $0.003 |
Warm meal delivery from central kitchen to holding centers using standard insulated delivery trucks.
| Scenario | Centers | Avg Miles per Center | Total Miles/Day | Cost per Mile | Daily Delivery Cost | Meals Delivered/Day | Cost per Meal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urban - High Density | 20 centers | 5 miles | 100 | $1.00 | $100 | 100,000 | $0.001 |
| Urban - Medium Density | 10 centers | 10 miles | 100 | $1.00 | $100 | 50,000 | $0.002 |
| Suburban - Low Density | 5 centers | 20 miles | 100 | $1.00 | $100 | 25,000 | $0.004 |
Delivery cost assumes $1.00/mile all-in (fuel, driver, truck maintenance, insurance). Route optimization keeps total daily mileage manageable.
Total delivered cost per meal (using large center economics for best-case scenario):
| Cost Component | Vegetarian Meal | Non-Vegetarian Meal |
|---|---|---|
| Ingredients (aero veg + purchased) | $0.595 | $2.153 |
| Cooking energy (biogas/solar) | $0.050 | $0.050 |
| Holding center rent (large center) | $0.003 | $0.003 |
| Delivery (high density urban) | $0.001 | $0.001 |
| TOTAL DELIVERED COST | $0.649 | $2.207 |
| Cost Component | Vegetarian Meal | Non-Vegetarian Meal |
|---|---|---|
| Ingredients | $0.595 | $2.153 |
| Cooking energy | $0.050 | $0.050 |
| Holding center rent (small center) | $0.033 | $0.033 |
| Delivery (suburban low density) | $0.004 | $0.004 |
| TOTAL | $0.682 | $2.240 |
Best Case (Large centers, high density):
Worst Case (Small centers, low density):
Key finding: With aeroponic production, renewable energy cooking, and efficient distribution, complete nutritious meals can be delivered for under $0.68 (vegetarian) or under $2.24 (non-vegetarian) even in worst-case scenarios—making quality food genuinely accessible to everyone.
How do our meal costs compare to what people currently pay?
When people buy ingredients from grocery stores, they pay retail prices with 2-3x markup over wholesale:
| Meal Type | Our System (Wholesale) | Retail Grocery Cost | Markup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegetarian ingredients only | $0.60 | $1.49 | 2.5x |
| Non-vegetarian ingredients only | $2.15 | $5.38 | 2.5x |
| Vegetarian (fully delivered) | $0.65 | $1.49 | ~2.3x |
| Non-vegetarian (fully delivered) | $2.21 | $5.38 | ~2.4x |
Retail markup based on typical 15-40% markup on produce, 20-30% on staples, and 25-35% on meat, averaging to 2.5x wholesale costs.
Current market prices for prepared meals in the USA (2024 data):
| Meal Source | Average Cost | vs. Our Vegetarian | vs. Our Non-Veg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fast Food Combo Meal | $11.00 | 17x more | 5x more |
| Inexpensive Restaurant | $16.28 | 25x more | 7.4x more |
| Takeout/Delivery Meal | $24.90 | 39x more | 11.3x more |
| Average Restaurant Meal | $29.41 | 46x more | 13.4x more |
| Scenario | Vegetarian Meal | Non-Vegetarian Meal | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our System (Best Case) | $0.65 | $2.21 | Delivered, ready to eat |
| Our System (Worst Case) | $0.68 | $2.24 | Delivered, ready to eat |
| Cooking at Home (Retail) | $1.49 | $5.38 | Ingredients only, must cook yourself |
| Fast Food | $11.00 | $11.00 | Ready to eat, lower quality |
| Inexpensive Restaurant | $16.28 | $16.28 | Ready to eat |
| Takeout/Delivery | $24.90 | $24.90 | Delivered, ready to eat |
| Average Restaurant | $29.41 | $29.41 | Dine-in experience |
Impact - Family of 4, eating 2 meals/day:
Impact - Family of 4, eating 3 meals/day (360 meals/month):
Profit analysis with self-owned facilities, automated kitchen, and self-manufactured/recycled packaging.
| Cost Component | Vegetarian Meal | Non-Vegetarian Meal |
|---|---|---|
| Ingredients (aero veg + purchased) | $0.595 | $2.153 |
| Cooking energy (biogas/solar, automated kitchen) | $0.050 | $0.050 |
| Packaging (self-manufactured/recycled) | $0.050 | $0.050 |
| Delivery (high density urban) | $0.001 | $0.001 |
| TOTAL COST PER MEAL | $0.696 | $2.254 |
| SELLING PRICE (30% margin) | $0.99 | $3.22 |
| PROFIT PER MEAL | $0.30 | $0.97 |
Note: Self-owned facilities eliminate holding center rent. Automated kitchen reduces labor costs (already included in operating costs). Recycled packaging keeps material costs minimal.
| Scale | Meals/Day | Meals/Month | Meal Mix | Monthly Revenue | Monthly Profit (30%) | Annual Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Small Operation | 1,000 | 30,000 | 70% veg, 30% non-veg | $49,869 | $14,961 | $179,528 |
| Medium Operation | 10,000 | 300,000 | 70% veg, 30% non-veg | $498,688 | $149,606 | $1,795,278 |
| Large Operation | 50,000 | 1,500,000 | 70% veg, 30% non-veg | $2,493,441 | $748,032 | $8,976,389 |
| City-Scale Operation | 100,000 | 3,000,000 | 70% veg, 30% non-veg | $4,986,883 | $1,496,065 | $17,952,777 |
For a customer eating 3 meals/day with our service:
| Customer Type | Daily Cost | Monthly Cost | Annual Cost | Monthly Profit to Company |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% Vegetarian (3 meals/day) | $2.98 | $89.52 | $1,089.19 | $26.86 |
| 100% Non-Vegetarian (3 meals/day) | $9.66 | $289.80 | $3,525.93 | $86.94 |
| Mixed (70% veg, 30% non-veg) | $4.99 | $149.61 | $1,820.21 | $44.88 |
Cities most impacted by job loss, deindustrialization, and food insecurity where this system would have the greatest impact.
Large cities with significant populations facing food insecurity despite economic prosperity.
| City | Food Insecurity Rate | Unemployment Rate | Key Statistics |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City, NY | 14.6% | 4-5% | 1.2M residents food insecure, 20% on SNAP, 44% of families with children face hardship |
| Los Angeles, CA | 25% | 5-6% | 832,000 households food insecure, 41% of low-income residents affected |
| Chicago, IL | 20% | 5-6% | 23% of households with children lack consistent food access, 18% poverty rate |
| Philadelphia, PA | 17.1% | 5-6% | 38.8M missed meals/year, 27.6% on SNAP, 1 in 3 children face hunger |
| San Francisco-Oakland, CA | 21% | 4-5% | 77% of food bank clients at risk of hunger |
| Houston, TX | 16-18% | 4-5% | High food insecurity in diverse neighborhoods |
| Phoenix, AZ | 15-17% | 4-5% | Growing population, rising costs |
| San Diego, CA | 18-20% | 4-5% | High cost of living impacts food access |
| Dallas-Fort Worth, TX | 15-17% | 4-5% | Large metro area with pockets of poverty |
| Atlanta, GA | 16-18% | 4-5% | Growing inequality, food deserts |
| Boston, MA | 15-17% | 3-4% | 46% Black households, 62% Hispanic households food insecure |
| Seattle, WA | 12-14% | 4-5% | High housing costs impact food budgets |
| Washington, DC | 14-16% | 4-5% | Stark wealth inequality, food deserts |
| Miami, FL | 17-19% | 4-5% | High cost of living, service economy |
| Toronto, ON | 20-25% | 8.1% | 13.5% youth unemployment, 57% cite cost of living |
| Vancouver, BC | 22-26% | 6-7% | Food insecurity doubled since 2019, 81% increase in food bank visits |
| Montreal, QC | 18-22% | 6.8% | Rising unemployment from 5.1% (2023) |
| London, UK | 15-18% | 4-5% | High cost of living, food bank usage rising |
| Paris, France | 12-15% | 7-8% | Energy costs, inflation impact |
| Berlin, Germany | 10-13% | 6-7% | Energy crisis, industrial challenges |
Note: Even affluent cities have significant food insecurity. Major metros offer high population density = efficient distribution + massive impact.
Why These Cities?
Market Size (Updated with Major Metros):
Complete business economics across 100 target cities with 17.5M households.
| Metric | Value | Calculation |
|---|---|---|
| Target Cities | 100 cities | 55 USA, 15 Canada, 30 Europe |
| Combined Population | ~50 million people | Cities affected by deindustrialization & food insecurity |
| Target Households | 17.5 million households | 15-20M estimate (middle range) |
| Monthly Cost per Household | $596 | Family of 4, 3 meals/day (70% veg, 30% non-veg) |
| Annual Revenue | $125.2 billion | 17.5M households × $596/month × 12 |
| Annual Profit (30% margin) | $37.6 billion | $125.2B × 30% |
| Scenario | Price/Household/Month | Annual Revenue | Annual Profit (30%) | Households Served | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Pricing | $2,400 (avg market rate) | $504 billion | $151 billion | 5-8M (most can't afford) | High profit, low impact |
| Our Model | $596 | $125 billion | $37.6 billion | 17.5M (everyone can afford) | Sustainable profit, massive impact |
| "Foregone Revenue" | $504B - $125B = $379 billion stays in families' pockets | ||||
What families currently pay vs. what they would pay with our system:
| Current Spending | Our Price | Monthly Savings | Annual Savings | Over 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,800/month (low estimate) | $596 | $1,204 | $14,448 | $144,480 |
| $2,400/month (middle estimate) | $596 | $1,804 | $21,648 | $216,480 |
| $3,000/month (high estimate) | $596 | $2,404 | $28,848 | $288,480 |
| Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Low estimate savings per household/year | $14,448 |
| High estimate savings per household/year | $28,848 |
| Middle estimate savings per household/year | $21,648 |
| Total annual savings (17.5M × $21,648) | $378.8 billion |
| Range (low to high) | $252.8B - $504.8B |
This is NOT charity. This is a new business model.
Traditional thinking:
Our innovation:
The Numbers Don't Lie:
What Families Can Do with $1,804-$2,404/month in savings:
| Region | Cities | Est. Households | Annual Revenue | Annual Profit (30%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA (Rust Belt & Secondary) | 55 | 10M | $71.5B | $21.5B |
| Canada | 15 | 2.5M | $17.9B | $5.4B |
| Europe (UK + Continental) | 30 | 5M | $35.8B | $10.7B |
| TOTAL | 100 | 17.5M | $125.2B | $37.6B |
We're not leaving $379 billion on the table.
We're building a $125 billion revenue business with $37.6 billion in profit while enabling $379 billion in household savings.
This isn't charity. This is the future of food - where profitability and social good are the same thing.